NJ & Citizens of America: Here is The Next President of The U.S.
The 2024 election for President of The United States is the most bizarre in American history.
On June 27, 2024, former President Donald Trump knocked the incumbent President, Joe Biden out of the race following their one and only debate.
Without (her) earning a single vote or delegate, the Democrats selected the incumbent Vice President, Kamala Harris to take Biden’s place on the ballot.
That reset the race for a less than 100-day sprint to decide who will become the 47th President of The United States.
The polls have been nearly 50% to 50% ever since.
However, it is important to note that Trump support has been under sampled in both 2016 and 2020, when Trump received considerably more support than the polls predicted.
On the Sunday before Election Day, I always submit my Electoral College Map for your consideration.
My approach in my election prediction model this year is to award Harris with every State/Commonwealth that she can possibly win. I’ve given her states that I actually believe Trump can or will win, such as: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
These three are affectionately known as “The Blue Wall.”
Harris must win all three to have any chance to win the Presidency.
Trump does not have to win any of “The Blue Wall” states and can still win The Presidency.
I predict a split will occur in these three states. If Trump wins just one and he’s likely to do that or more … the race is over.
I have also given Harris one electoral vote in Nebraska and Maine, where they split the electoral college votes. Trump will win the overall popular vote in these two states.
However, these two electoral votes could be significant.
I predict that Trump will win the following states:
Maine, Utah, West Virginia, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Indiana, Ohio, Florida, Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Iowa, South Dakota, North Dakota, Missouri, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Wyoming, Montana, Arizona, Idaho, Nevada, Alaska.
I predict that Harris will win:
One electoral vote in Maine, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Virginia, Connecticut, New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Washington DC, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, one electoral vote in Nebraska, New Mexico, Colorado, Washington, Oregon, California, Hawaii.
Trump has the potential to win: New Hampshire, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Yet, for my predictive model, I’ve given all of these states to Harris. Trump will win one or more of these.
Regarding the states that I’ve given to Trump, Harris can win: Georgia, North Carolina and possibly Nevada.
With General Election less than 3 days away, the path is there for either candidate to win.
However, there are more paths for Trump to win versus Harris.
About 52 percent of the electorate had already voted.
The side that delivers the best Get Out The Vote effort on Tuesday, November 5, 2024 will win the election.
I predict that the United States Senate will flip to a Republican majority.
The United States House of Representatives is too close to call and can go either way.
In the end, I predict that Trump will win The Presidency by a narrow 270-268 margin.
270 Electoral College Votes are required to win. I believe that Trump will win more than 280 (even beyond 300) as the determinative factor will be the poor job done by Biden-Harris on the economy and with illegal immigration.
By direct comparison, Trump has a four-year track record as President, where he delivered on economic issues, securing our borders and achieving world peace.
Biden-Harris failed on all three of these.
The abortion issue may be significant, with ballot questions in both Arizona and Wisconsin … placed there on purpose to try and carry the day for Democrats.
Here is my prediction map:
NOTE: The popular vote, which does not decide who wins The Presidency will also be close … with Trump being the first Republican Nominee since 2004 to win the popular vote.
It’s been very difficult over the past 24 years for the Republican candidate to win the popular vote in light of California, New York, Illinois and other densely populated Democrat states.
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